Tigers vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Detroit Tigers on Saturday at Comerica Park against Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros. First pitch is at 6:10 PM ET. The Tigers are favored in this one, at -159, while the underdog Astros have +134 odds to play spoiler. Detroit is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +141 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers game on Friday, May 10.

Tigers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Tigers vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 4, Astros 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 56%, Astros 44%

Tigers vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Tigers have won nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Detroit has a record of 3-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 61.4% chance to win.
• The Astros have come away with three wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Houston has played as an underdog of +134 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 2 · DET 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

+1.5

+133

o7.5

Detroit Tigers

DET

-1.5

-159

u7.5

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Tigers were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice, and they split those games.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Tigers' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene leads the Tigers in home runs (nine), runs batted in (17) and has a team-high batting average of .254.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Greene's home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally ranks him 82nd.
• Mark Canha has eight doubles, five home runs and 17 walks while hitting .240.
• Canha ranks 60th in homers and 86th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Kerry Carpenter is hitting .269 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and seven walks.
• Carpenter will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with three doubles and three walks.
• Matthew Vierling has four doubles, two triples, three home runs and three walks while batting .280.
• Vierling brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a triple and five RBI.

Tigers Team Props

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Astros have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Tucker leads the Astros in home runs (12) and runs batted in (26).
• In all of the big leagues, Tucker ranks first in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .325 with nine doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Altuve is 31st in home runs and 128th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jeremy Pena paces the Astros with a team-best batting average of .338.
• Yordan Alvarez has five doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks while hitting .252.

Astros Team Props

Astros vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers game on Friday, May 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers - 05/11/2024