Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Mookie Betts and the Los Angeles Dodgers will play Jake Cronenworth and the San Diego Padres on Saturday at PETCO Park, at 8:40 PM ET. The Padres are +112 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Dodgers (-132). Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the San Diego Padres' 2-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 8:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -132 +112 8.5 -112 -108 -1.5 +124 -146

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 6, Padres 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 51%, Padres 49%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 38 times and won 25, or 65.8%, of those games.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 23 of its 34 games, or 67.6%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
  • The Padres have come away with eight wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 4-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
LAD 5 · SD 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
San Diego Padres
SD

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 7-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Dodgers' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 19
ERA 1.98
K/9 7.7

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Betts has 10 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 30 walks while batting .346.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Betts ranks 45th in homers and 13th in RBI.
  • Betts carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with three walks.
  • Shohei Ohtani's 11 home runs and .359 batting average are both team-highs.
  • Ohtani is third in home runs and 13th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Freddie Freeman has 11 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 24 walks while hitting .301.
  • Freeman will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .323 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Shohei Ohtani 1.5 (+140) 2.5 (+115) 0.5 (+190) 0.5 (-105)
Mookie Betts 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+155)
Teoscar Hernández 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+150)
Andy Pages 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)
Will Smith 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+120)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Padres have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 10
ERA 3.07
K/9 9.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar paces the Padres with 27 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .324.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Profar is 45th in homers and 13th in RBI.
  • Cronenworth has 10 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 14 walks while hitting .286.
  • Cronenworth is 45th in homers and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has seven home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has four doubles, two triples, five home runs and 23 walks while hitting .208.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+130)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+240)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)

Dodgers vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the San Diego Padres' 2-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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